Picks against the spread for every Top 25 game

The best college football expert picks against the spread for Week 7 as we tackle a light slate and aim to get back in favor of the betting deities.

You’d think that college football picks against the spread would get easier the more we learn about these teams and the season goes on. Apparently, that’s not the case as we come into Week 7, though, because our expert picks from last week saw us get absolutely shredded against the spread and on over/under point totals.

In by far the worst showing of the 2021 season yet, the college football expert picks went just 6-12 on the season, taking us to 50-60-1 on the year. Meanwhile, the totals bets were just as bad at 7-11, bringing us to 53-54-4 on the season. Now we head into a light Week 7 slate where the tide can hopefully start to turn, even if we don’t make up all of that ground.

Gripping down and getting locked in, these are the college football expert picks against the spread for Week 7. Note: All odds are via WynnBET. For more betting info and content, visit BetSided.

Top 25 teams not in action in Week 7: Ohio State (6), Penn State (7), Michigan (8), Notre Dame (14), Coastal Carolina (15), Wake Forest (16), SMU (23)

College football expert picks for Week 7 for the Top 25 teams

12 Oklahoma State at 25 Texas (-4.0) – Over 60.5

The betting public can benefit from this game because Oklahoma State’s defense is lowering this total and the line. They haven’t played any team with near the firepower of Texas, though, and I suspect the Longhorns will win comfortably, but the over should be easy as the defense is still an issue for Sark’s team.

24 San Diego State (-9.5) at San Jose State – Under 41.0 (Friday Night)

San Diego State is clearly the better team and should be able to control the action. In doing so, the low point total comes into play. The Aztecs are quite likely to get a lead and then just take the air entirely out of the ball to secure the win.

22 NC State at Boston College (+2.5) – Under 51.5

Underdogs in ACC play are 14-4 against the spread right now. The parity in this conference is wild and ridiculous right now, so when I see a good, well-coached Boston College team getting points at home, that’s an easy lean to the Eagles.

21 Texas A&M (-9.0) at Missouri – Under 59.5

The big question is if what the Aggies showed in beating Alabama was a flash in the pan or something sustainable. That answer likely lies somewhere in the middle of those two but Missouri’s defense has been a disaster, so we won’t see a letdown from A&M this week.

20 Florida (-11.0) at LSU – Over 59.5

I don’t feel great about the over play here but I’m confident in Florida. LSU typically hates 11 a.m. local kickoffs and now they get one off an awful loss. Hopefully that doesn’t keep the Tigers from scoring a bit to help get this over.

19 BYU (+6.0) at Baylor – Under 50.5

What we saw in BYU’s loss to Boise State looks more like an anomaly than regression to me. They outgained the Broncos overall and just didn’t convert. Baylor is a good team and defense but the Cougars are now getting underrated so their position as an underdog is too enticing to pass up.

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18 Arizona State at Utah (+1.0) – Over 50.5

We might as well be talking about a pick ’em but I’m going with Utah at home. That’s a tough place to play, the letdown for Arizona State is due, and the Sun Devils are without two starting defensive backs against an improving Utes team. That’s a nice recipe for this play.

Auburn at 17 Arkansas (-4.5) – Over 54.5

Let me go ahead and tell you: I hate this game. Both of these teams are talented but also flawed and I have no idea where to go from there. My lean is just to take the Razorbacks in Fayetteville, though, because they’ve been much better there. And some defensive shortcomings on both sides have me going to the over.

13 Ole Miss (-3.0) at Tennessee – Under 82.5

We’re going principle play on the under because this is ridiculously high — but don’t think I’m not worried because there’s a reason it’s at 82.5. In a likely shootout, Ole Miss makes me a bit nervous as the favorite but they are the better team, which makes them the pick.

11 Kentucky at 1 Georgia (-21.0) – Under 44.5

Georgia’s offense might have some more issues this week than they have for some of the season but the Bulldogs defense remains the story. They are going to shut down Chris Rodriguez almost entirely and Will Levis has turnover potential still in play.

10 Michigan State (-4.0) at Indiana – Over 49.0

Everyone keeps waiting for Sparty to have a patented slip-up but I’ve seen no signs of that coming just yet. Michigan State is just a vastly superior team and should be able to put up a ton of points on Indiana.

California at 9 Oregon (-13.5) – Under 54.5 (Friday Night)

Truthfully, I’m not sure Oregon should be nearly two-touchdown favorites against anyone. Having said that, Cal’s offense has been abysmal and the Ducks should have enough on both sides of the ball to win comfortably in a game that’s not all that pretty.

5 Alabama (-17.0) at Mississippi State – Over 57.0

Mississippi State’s defense is no joke but I have full faith in Alabama to bounce back on the road in this game. It’s a tricky spot and I’m certainly not thrilled about it but Nick Saban isn’t one to let his team get mired down after a tough loss. In fact, they might just be motivated.

TCU (+13.0) at 4 Oklahoma – Over 64.0

Caleb Williams raises the ceiling of the Oklahoma offense but could also lower the floor as he’s still young and inexperienced. When you throw in that TCU can also try and run Zach Evans like Texas did Bijan Robinson, I like the Horned Frogs to keep this within striking distance in a high-scoring ballgame.

UCF at 3 Cincinnati (-21.0) – Over 56.5

I understand that this game has some name value, but that is better than what UCF is right now. Injuries have ravaged the Knights to this point and Cincinnati is cooking right now, They could hit the over themselves and will surely cover in this game at home.

Purdue at 2 Iowa (-12.0) – Under 44.5

Just based on the players in the mix, it’s hard not to feel confident in both sides I’m taking for this game. Having said that, the total does scare me a bit as Iowa’s opportunistic defense is in a great spot to force turnovers and potentially make this one get out of hand.

For more NCAA football news, analysis, opinion and unique coverage by FanSided, including Heisman Trophy and College Football Playoff rankings, be sure to bookmark these pages.

 

Source: FanSided

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